Risk Report of Mongolia

This paper briefly summarizes the key risks of Mongolia in four areas–economic, social, political, and geopolitical. Among them, social risks, especially over-concentration of population, is the highest. Then, economical risks, majorly economic instability, along with political risks, majorly low administrative efficiency, are in medium range. Lastly, geopolitical risks, best represented by “Third Neighbor” doctrine that destroys the balance between Mongolia, China, and Russia, is in the low range. The risk report focuses on the upcoming year–from June,2020 to June,2021. In the upcoming year, the pandemic of COVID-19 along with the presidency of new president Ukhnaa Khurelsukh will bring changes to the major risks of Mongolia. Therefore, this paper will try to predict the new risks and their levels in the future 12 months.(Song Xiaohan)           

9 Comments

  1. 巴特尔

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    蒙古国东、南、西三面与中国接壤,北面同俄罗斯接壤,只有这两个邻国。这种独特的地理位值,的确给蒙古国的国防安全带来极大优势,只要和南北接壤的两大军事强国搞好关系,就不用担心外敌入侵。但也正是因为这种夹在两个大国中间的地理位值,使得蒙古国对外贸易面临巨大挑战。蒙古国如何突破地理障碍又能和邻国保持良好关系,这是一个不得不面对的课题。但这一课题在具体实施时,稍有不慎,的确就将面临极大的地缘风险。

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